Bitcoin shows early reversal signs after months of decline, with improving sentiment and accumulation signals, but macro uncertainty still drives short-term volatility and cautious positioning.

Bitcoin short-term holders sent 63,000 BTC to exchanges on April 14, the highest since January, while institutions absorbed $411.50M through ETFs and the 50 SMA held.

Bitcoin broke $76,000 and Ethereum cleared $2,400 as softer-than-expected PPI data and renewed US-Iran talk signals drove a broad market rally.

Bitcoin gained 17% since the Iran war began while gold lost 10% and silver fell 15%, traditional safe havens moved the wrong way.

Bitcoin cleared $74,000 overnight after Iran signaled readiness to continue US talks and Pakistan proposed a second negotiating round - neither confirmed, both enough to move the market.

itcoin recovered $2,500 in twelve hours and reclaimed the 50 SMA - the Bull-Bear indicator still shows a bear phase without full capitulation.

3:11 PMStrategy acquired 13,927 BTC for $1 billion at $71,902, as price compressed below the falling 50 SMA at $71,710.

Bitcoin dropped to $70,880 after US-Iran talks in Pakistan ended without a deal. The RSI crossed into oversold territory for the first time since the ceasefire rally. Funding rates turned negative.

JD Vance left Pakistan after 21 hours of negotiations without reaching an agreement with Iran. Bitcoin broke below its 50 SMA.

Blockchain intelligence firm Chainalysis has published an analysis responding to reports that Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has begun collecting cryptocurrency transit fees from commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.

Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen gives a 75% probability to Bitcoin making a new low before this cycle ends.

Five separate Binance datasets are pointing in the same direction simultaneously. Here is what the data actually shows.