Bitcoin's most aggressive buyers of the bull market have gone quiet at exactly the prices where its oldest valuation model says accumulation historically happens, and the bid they abandoned is being picked up by whales while retail traders position for more downside.

Bitcoin trades near $64,000 on July 10, resting on a monthly confluence of technical support, while investor Grant Cardone publicly argues the market still needs a capitulation move into the $40,000s before November. The setup pits a rare structural support level against a bearish roadmap from a high-profile buyer who says he wants price to break, not drift.

Bitcoin climbed 1.5% to $63,800 on 10th of July in a market stuck in a strange place: down roughly 50% from its high, its aggressive buyers quiet for five weeks, and the usual capitulation sellers still missing.

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