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XRP: Can the Rally Hold Its Ground?

XRP: Can the Rally Hold Its Ground?

XRP’s recovery has revived a $2 chart setup, but heavy Binance turnover and leveraged trading leave the rally facing a more demanding test.

Key Takeaways

  • Ali’s setup needs daily closes above its neckline.
  • Brandt’s weekly chart is context, not a target.
  • CryptoQuant recorded unusually heavy Binance turnover.
  • Price must hold as leverage and turnover settle.

At the time of writing, XRP traded near $1.52, according to CoinMarketCap data.

The question is whether XRP can turn a rebound into a trend

Three recent XRP analyses focus on different parts of the same market. A daily chart from Ali Charts outlines a potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. A weekly chart posted by Peter Brandt places the recovery within a far larger structure. A CryptoQuant analysis examines the exchange and derivatives activity that accompanied the move.

One XRP move, three questions
1. Daily chart
Can XRP turn the neckline from resistance into support?
2. Weekly chart
Can the smaller structure on Brandt’s chart gain support from weekly closes?
3. Market activity
Can price hold while exceptional turnover and leveraged positions become less dominant?

Ali’s $2.10 projection needs a confirmed breakout

Ali’s daily XRP chart sketches an inverse head-and-shoulders formation: an earlier low forms the left shoulder, a deeper trough forms the head, and a later higher low becomes the right shoulder. The pattern needs a daily close and follow-through above its neckline before the projected move carries technical weight.

XRP daily chart from Ali Charts showing a potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, its neckline and a conditional measured move toward $2.10.
XRP/USD daily chart posted by Ali Charts. The $2.10 projection requires a sustained break above the marked neckline.

The $2.10 level is a measured move. It is calculated by applying the height of the pattern to its breakout point. It becomes relevant only after XRP clears the neckline and continues to trade above it.

XRP was trading around that decision area at publication. Daily closes above it would show that former resistance is beginning to function as support. A return below it would leave the pattern unresolved.

Coindoo’s earlier analysis covered XRP’s break above its descending channel. The next question is narrower: can the market hold the next resistance zone after that initial breakout?

Brandt’s chart gives the recovery a longer history

Brandt’s September 27 post uses a logarithmic weekly XRP/USD chart. Each candle represents a full week, while the logarithmic scale shows percentage moves rather than equal dollar increments.

Peter Brandt logarithmic weekly XRP/USD chart showing long-term converging trendlines and a smaller possible S-H-S sequence near the current range.
XRP/USD weekly chart posted by Peter Brandt. It shows the longer-term structure around the current range without a new measured price target.

The chart traces XRP’s broad compression after its earlier cycle peak: a descending ceiling from the major highs and a rising floor from later lows. XRP had already moved above that wider structure before the current phase, leaving the longer-term chart very different from the daily setup alone.

At the far right, Brandt labels a possible S-H-S sequence around the present range. The post does not include a fresh measured target or a breakout projection. It places XRP near a horizontal reference line following the earlier structural move.

Ali’s and Brandt’s charts should therefore be read separately. Ali’s graphic maps a short-term inverse head-and-shoulders pattern and a conditional $2.10 objective. Brandt’s weekly chart provides the wider setting in which that shorter-term attempt is taking place.

CryptoQuant’s warning is about market behaviour

CryptoQuant recorded unusually strong two-way XRP activity through Binance around the recent high. Its analysis noted extreme inflows and outflows, increased derivatives positioning and a higher longer-term XRP reserve trend on the exchange.

The figures show intense participation, but they do not identify the purpose of each transfer. Exchange deposits may relate to selling, trading, collateral or wallet management. Withdrawals can reflect accumulation, settlement or movements between entities. The data therefore describe the intensity of activity more clearly than its direction.

The report’s author argued that a price high combined with record two-way flows and elevated leverage has more often preceded consolidation than immediate continuation. That is an analytical interpretation, not a rule that XRP must follow. It explains why the current recovery needs to be judged alongside the activity surrounding it.

So, can XRP hold its ground?

For now, XRP is trading around the area that separates a developing breakout from a failed daily setup. That keeps the recovery case alive, but it does not yet confirm a sustained trend.

The answer depends on whether XRP can establish daily closes above Ali’s neckline. Brandt’s weekly view would gain credibility if XRP can improve around its horizontal reference line on weekly closes. Price holding those areas while exchange turnover and futures positioning become less extreme would give the rally a firmer base.

A move back below the daily recovery area would weaken that case quickly. Until either outcome becomes clearer, XRP is best read as a market testing support after a sharp recovery, not one that has already secured its next advance.


This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Technical patterns and market metrics are interpretive tools, not guarantees of future price movement.

Author
Kosta Gushterov, journalist in Coindoo.com

Reporter at Coindoo

Kosta has reported on cryptocurrency markets and blockchain infrastructure since 2020, bringing over six years of hands-on experience in the crypto industry built through daily tracking of markets, trends, and emerging blockchain developments. Specializing in Bitcoin on-chain analysis, institutional ETF flows, and digital asset price action, his work at Coindoo has been cited by other news agencies and consistently covers market developments with a focus on data-driven reporting across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. Over the years, Kosta has contributed to multiple crypto media outlets in different regions, authoring over 6,000 articles across the sector. His reporting spans cryptocurrency markets and the broader fintech industry, tracking not only price action but also the technological and regulatory forces shaping the ecosystem. To support his analysis, Kosta actively leverages on-chain data and metrics from leading platforms such as Santiment, Glassnode, and CryptoQuant, enabling deeper, evidence-based market insights. He believes in the power of transparency and the data that underpins the blockchain ecosystem. His academic background in Marketing Management from Denmark further complements his analytical approach, adding a strong understanding of communication strategy and content positioning to his work.

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