Raoul Pal is not watching ceasefire headlines to form his Bitcoin thesis. He is watching the incentive structures of the four parties involved in the Iran conflict, and concluding that the market is pricing a war the game theory says cannot be sustained.
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Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and founder of Maelstrom, is 95% long in a market where Warren Buffett is sitting on the largest cash pile of his career.
Tron's price has rejected twice from $0.335 in five days while active addresses on the network fell 21% over 74 days, a divergence between price and participation that the on-chain data makes increasingly difficult to dismiss.
Ethereum's supply scarcity on Binance reached a record 2.47 in April, the highest reading in seven years of data, while price simultaneously sold off to $2,260. ETH has since recovered to $2,410, now approaching the resistance level that capped price on April 21.
Bitcoin reached $79,000 on April 22 for the first time since early February, recovering the full range of its two-month correction. The 1-hour RSI sits at 79.21 on volume that does not match the size of the move. What's underneath the price is more telling than the price itself.
Bitcoin crossed $78,000 on a news-driven spike but April 21 ETF data showed just $11.84M in net inflows, with BlackRock carrying almost the entire positive side alone.
The crypto market recovered across the board on April 22 after Donald Trump extended the US-Iran ceasefire, reversing a position he had previously stated publicly, buying more time for peace talks that Iran has so far refused to join.
Coinbase has opened crypto-backed lending to UK users for the first time, powered by the same Morpho protocol that processed $2.17 billion in US loans before the UK saw a single one.
Strategy has surpassed BlackRock's IBIT ETF as the single largest Bitcoin holder after purchasing 34,164 BTC. The milestone arrives with the company's average acquisition cost sitting within only $400 of where Bitcoin trades today.
Ethereum's open interest collapsed across multiple exchanges for the second time this month. Three years of taker ratio data put the recovery in a context the short-term chart alone cannot provide.
XRP's exchange reserves remain at a multi-month high while whale selling has collapsed and active network addresses hit their lowest level in weeks, three datasets pointing in three different directions at the same time.
A DeFi exploit targeting rsETH collateral created more than $290 million in bad debt on Aave V3, triggering a liquidity lockout, whale capitulation, and the token's sharpest two-day drop in months.