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U.S. Treasury Confident Yen Will Stabilize Under BOJ Policy

U.S. Treasury Confident Yen Will Stabilize Under BOJ Policy

The U.S. Treasury’s top official, Scott Bessent, has voiced confidence that Japan’s currency will eventually find its footing - so long as the Bank of Japan stays the course on policy.

His comments come as the yen hovers near multi-month lows and Tokyo’s political and monetary landscape grows increasingly complex.

Speaking to reporters in Japan, Bessent avoided weighing in on the yen’s exact value but hinted that he believes the central bank’s cautious approach will ultimately stabilize markets. His stance marks a subtle shift from his remarks in August, when he criticized the BOJ for falling behind in addressing inflation.

Yen Under Pressure

The yen’s slide has been steep. Earlier this month, it briefly touched 153.27 per dollar – the weakest level in eight months – before recovering to around 150.88 as traders sought safety amid rising U.S.-China trade tensions. Analysts attribute the decline to fading hopes of an early interest-rate hike by the BOJ, which remains hesitant to abandon its ultra-loose stance.

Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato echoed concern over “rapid movements” in currency markets, signaling that Tokyo may be willing to intervene if volatility intensifies. BOJ board member Naoki Tamura, one of the more hawkish voices on the committee, argued that inflation could reach target levels sooner than expected – reviving speculation about a possible shift in policy later this year.

Politics, Policy, and Pressure

While monetary debates dominate headlines, Japan’s political environment is adding another layer of uncertainty. Following last week’s leadership vote, Sanae Takaichi now looks set to become the country’s next prime minister, provided she can secure enough parliamentary backing after the Komeito party’s departure from the ruling coalition.

Former BOJ executive Kazuo Momma believes a break below 155 yen per dollar could force the central bank’s hand, triggering a long-awaited rate hike. He said a new administration would likely welcome such a move as it battles voter frustration over rising living costs and weak wage growth.

A Cautious Endorsement

Despite ongoing inflation above 2% for three consecutive years, Bessent appears to favor patience. He praised BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda’s steady leadership and avoided commenting on the upcoming October 30 policy meeting, saying only that the governor was “very capable.”

The U.S. Treasury secretary’s remarks, though restrained, suggest Washington sees Japan’s monetary path as manageable – even amid market turbulence. For now, both nations seem aligned on one point: stability will come not through intervention, but through time and persistence.

Source: Bloomberg


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