September Fed Meeting Could Deliver a Surprise, Official Hints

Boston Fed President Susan Collins said the path for U.S. interest rates remains uncertain, stressing that policymakers will rely heavily on fresh data before making their next move.
Speaking with Bloomberg at the Jackson Hole symposium, Collins explained that the Federal Reserve faces a delicate balancing act between keeping inflation under control and protecting jobs.
Collins described current monetary policy as “moderately restrictive” and suitable for the moment, but warned that the coming month of economic reports will shape the decision at the Fed’s September meeting.
“Nothing has been decided — every option is still on the table,” she noted.
Tariffs remain a key concern, according to Collins, because they raise costs across supply chains rather than just on imported goods.
She said inflation is likely to stay elevated into the end of 2025, even though her base case is for gradual easing next year.
On the labor front, Collins acknowledged that hiring momentum has cooled, but argued that several measures still show resilience.
If signs of widespread layoffs emerge, she suggested the Fed could consider easing back on its restrictive stance to cushion the job market.
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