XRP Market Update: Price Holds $1.90 While Technical Pressure Builds
XRP is trading near the $1.90 level as technical indicators send mixed but increasingly important signals for traders watching the next directional move.
While longer-term fractal structures still point to potential upside, EGRAG stresses that fractals are not forecasts and should be treated as probabilistic roadmaps rather than guarantees.
Key Takeaways
According to his assessment, the current setup carries a roughly 45% to 55% chance of playing out in a meaningful way. That probability is not insignificant, but it also falls short of conviction, reinforcing the need to track real-time price behavior rather than rely on pattern symmetry alone.
Fractal Structure Built on Accumulation and Compression
EGRAG’s bullish case is rooted in XRP’s extended accumulation phase, which has historically led to volatility compression followed by sharp directional expansion in previous cycles. In his view, XRP’s past market structure often moved through a sequence of rapid upside expansion, consolidation, and then continuation – a rhythm that the current long-term chart loosely resembles.
#XRP – Fractal Reality Check (Honest TA):
The yellow fractal is possible, but fractals are NOT predictions.
Probability Assessment 📊:
▫️45–55% chance the fractal plays out meaningfully
▫️That’s not low Probability, but it’s not certainty either.Why this fractal has validity… pic.twitter.com/Mv3z3XnyST
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) December 18, 2025
Another element supporting the fractal thesis is time structure. EGRAG notes that the duration of XRP’s recent consolidation broadly aligns with prior cycle behavior, increasing the relevance of the comparison. He also points to price acceptance above a previously reclaimed zone near $3.20 on higher timeframes in the modeled scenario as a key condition for validating stronger upside continuation.
Why EGRAG Warns the Fractal Could Fail
Despite these constructive signals, EGRAG is explicit about the risks. He emphasizes that identical chart shapes do not imply identical liquidity conditions. Today’s market environment is shaped by derivatives dominance, macro-driven flows, and ETF-related inflows and outflows, all of which can distort historical analogs.
Heavy overhead resistance remains another major concern. The $2.50–$3.00 region stands out as a dense supply zone where sellers previously regained control. Without a decisive reclaim of this range, upside projections remain speculative rather than structural.
Time itself is also a threat to momentum. Extended consolidation can stretch fractal timing or invalidate it entirely, especially if volatility continues to compress without directional follow-through.
RSI Signals Add Broader Market Context
Separately from the fractal discussion, momentum indicators provide additional context for XRP’s current positioning. The weekly Relative Strength Index has slipped to around 33, placing it near levels that have historically aligned with late-stage pullbacks rather than confirmed breakdowns. On lower timeframes, RSI remains below the neutral 50 mark, reflecting muted buying pressure.
JUST IN: $XRP WEEKLY RSI HITS 33!
The weekly RSI dropping to 33 signals that $XRP is approaching oversold territory, a level where historically strong bounces often occur.
Investors could be eyeing this as a potential buying opportunity, especially as broader crypto sentiment… pic.twitter.com/kLiZEKLgSe
— CryptosRus (@CryptosR_Us) December 18, 2025
While RSI readings alone do not signal an imminent reversal, they highlight a zone where price reactions have previously occurred. For now, these indicators serve as supporting context rather than a standalone trigger, with traders focused more on price structure and key levels than on oscillator signals.
Direction May Be Right, Timing Likely Reduced
Taking all factors into account, EGRAG’s most likely scenario is one where the general direction of the fractal remains valid, but both the magnitude and timing are diminished. Rather than a fast, vertical move, XRP could experience a slower, more uneven path if the structure continues to develop.
For now, EGRAG emphasizes discipline over prediction. He continues to follow price action itself, treating the fractal as a roadmap rather than a promise. Whether XRP can stabilize above current levels and gradually reclaim key resistance zones will determine whether the longer-term setup remains intact or fades under the weight of changing market conditions.
The information provided in this article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Coindoo.com does not endorse or recommend any specific investment strategy or cryptocurrency. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Alex is an experienced financial journalist and cryptocurrency enthusiast. With over 8 years of experience covering the crypto, blockchain, and fintech industries, he is well-versed in the complex and ever-evolving world of digital assets. His insightful and thought-provoking articles provide readers with a clear picture of the latest developments and trends in the market. His approach allows him to break down complex ideas into accessible and in-depth content. Follow his publications to stay up to date with the most important trends and topics.
