Axios reported Sunday that the U.S. and Iran are discussing a 45-day ceasefire. Bitcoin surged from $67,000 to $69,200 in hours. The derivatives data shows traders are not just reacting, they are adding leveraged long positions at the top of the move.
Latest articles by Kosta Gushterov
Bitcoin's traditional bottom confirmation signals have not fired. The z-score is still positive. The Coinbase Premium is deeply negative. The Market Heat Score is silent.
Capital rotated from Bitcoin into gold at the cycle top. Flow data shows it moving back. Historical crisis data explains why the timing may not be a coincidence.
SOL is below its 50 SMA. Whether the problem is about geopolitics or Solana specifically is the question the market has not answered.
Q1 2026 produced $11 billion in crypto inflows - one-third of last year. On the day JPMorgan published that number, Schwab opened a waitlist for the largest traditional brokerage entry into spot crypto ever announced.
Retail traders are posting the most bearish commentary since February 28, while the price is above the 50 SMA with RSI at 60.
Chainlink leads Solana ecosystem development by a factor of 2.5, while Ethereum just recorded its worst transaction failure rate since 2016. Both facts matter.
The transfer is part of Chainlink's routine quarterly unlock. Routine does not mean harmless. The chart is sitting on the 50 SMA at $8.64, that line decides what happens next.
The CoinGlass 2026 Q1 Cryptocurrency Market Share Research Report provides a detailed look at how trading activity, open interest, liquidity, and user assets are distributed across major cryptocurrency exchanges.
Grayscale's Head of Research published a note arguing altcoins are near three-year lows. The same day, the company filed an S-1 amendment for a Bittensor trust.
Ethereum was building toward $2,200 when Donald Trump ruled out any Iran de-escalation. Two days of recovery disappeared overnight and the derivatives data left behind tells a specific story.
Bitcoin's price failed at the 50 SMA on April 2 and has not recovered. The Supply in Profit metric just entered territory last seen in the post-FTX collapse. The data explains the stall, and what breaks it.