U.S. Treasurys Set to Benefit From Stablecoin Boom, Analysts Say

Standard Chartered forecasts a massive jump in stablecoin supply to $2 trillion by 2028 — a move that could inject $1.6 trillion into U.S. Treasury bills, provided Donald Trump backs pending crypto legislation.
Currently, the stablecoin market is worth about $230 billion, with most of it anchored to short-term government debt.
Analyst Geoff Kendrick argues that regulatory clarity could trigger a surge in demand for T-bills, estimating $400 billion in annual flows during a potential second Trump term. That wave of buying could absorb nearly all new short-term debt issuance during the same window.
Kendrick emphasized that this isn’t just a byproduct of growth — stablecoins would become the top buyers of Treasurys, surpassing even foreign investors during the post-COVID era. Unlike other sectors, stablecoins exclusively target short-term debt for its liquidity, safety, and dollar backing.
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This demand, he said, isn’t just stabilizing the tokens themselves — it also reinforces U.S. dollar dominance globally, at a time when tariffs and trade friction threaten its supremacy.
Two bills — the GENIUS Act and the STABLE Act — are seen as key to unlocking this growth. Both have advanced in Congress, and their passage under a new administration could remove regulatory uncertainty and open the door for institutions to scale rapidly.
Kendrick also noted that network effects in the digital asset space make U.S. dollar-backed stablecoins particularly sticky. As these tokens expand further into payment systems and DeFi platforms, they will continue to pull in more dollar-denominated reserves, reinforcing a cycle that strengthens the greenback’s position in global finance.