Trump Signs Funding Bill Ending Partial U.S. Government Shutdown
President Donald Trump signed a roughly $1.2 trillion government funding bill Tuesday, bringing an end to the partial federal shutdown that began over the weekend.
Key takeaways
- President Trump signed a $1.2 trillion funding bill ending the partial government shutdown
- The House approved the measure by a slim 217–214 margin
- The package completes funding for 11 appropriations bills but only extends DHS funding through Feb. 13
- Polymarket prediction markets now price Democrats as favored to win the House at ~83%
The move followed a narrow 217–214 House vote approving the measure, allowing federal agencies to resume normal operations and funding through at least mid-February.
“This bill is a great victory for the American people,” Trump said after signing the legislation. Passage of the package concluded congressional work on 11 of the 12 annual appropriations bills that finance government agencies and programs through Sept. 30, 2026.
However, the deal only funds the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) through Feb. 13. That short-term window reflects ongoing congressional disagreements, with some lawmakers demanding additional measures and restrictions tied to immigration enforcement policy following a high-profile law enforcement shooting in Minneapolis.
Predictive Markets Shift Toward Democrats in 2026 Midterms
Markets that allow trading on political outcomes show a notable shift in expectations following the legislative development. According to the latest data from Polymarket – a real-money prediction market platform – odds of the Democratic Party winning control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections have surged to approximately 83%, while the Republican Party’s probability has dropped toward 18%.
🚨UPDATE: Odds of Democrats winning the 2026 Midterms surge to 83% pic.twitter.com/Lo9q8osCQA
— Coin Bureau (@coinbureau) February 4, 2026
These pricing shifts suggest market participants are placing greater weight on political continuity and perceived legislative stability flowing from the resolution of the shutdown.
Prediction markets like Polymarket aggregate real money bets and are often cited as real-time sentiment indicators on political and economic outcomes.
What Comes Next
While the immediate shutdown risk has passed, broader fiscal and policy debates remain unresolved. Lawmakers now face renewed negotiations over DHS funding and border policy, with the February 13 deadline likely to become the next flashpoint.
The stop-gap funding package also leaves open questions about longer-term budget priorities and potential spending conflicts later in the year. Investors and market observers will be watching both sides of the aisle for indications of how future appropriations battles might unfold.
For now, the government is open, federal employees have returned to work, and political stakes – underscored by prediction market pricing – are front and center as the 2026 midterm elections begin to take shape.
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Alexander Zdravkov is a person who always looks for the logic behind things. He has more than 3 years of experience in the crypto space, where he skillfully identifies new trends in the world of digital currencies. Whether providing in-depth analysis or daily reports on all topics, his deep understanding and enthusiasm for what he does make him a valuable member of the team.
