Tightening XRP Supply Sparks Rally Hopes – But Escrow Unlock Looms

The amount of XRP held on crypto exchanges has dropped to its lowest point in a month, falling to roughly 2.74 billion tokens.
That’s a noticeable decline from the 2.82 billion recorded on March 10—an indication that fewer tokens are available for immediate sale.
Historically, a shrinking supply on exchanges often aligns with reduced sell pressure, which can create the conditions for upward price movement. As of now, XRP is trading around the $2 mark, bouncing off a critical support level after financial markets rallied on the back of President Trump’s temporary pause on tariffs.
Adding to the momentum, XRP has seen a surge in network activity and derivatives trading. On April 9, the network hit record usage, while futures volume on the previous day spiked to a one-month high of $21.6 billion, with $500 million of that volume coming in just 24 hours. At the same time, the launch of the Teucrium 2x Long Daily XRP ETF (XXRP) on April 8 attracted $5 million in trades during its debut—putting it among the most actively traded ETF launches.
Still, the rally faces a potential roadblock. On May 1, Ripple is set to unlock 1 billion XRP tokens from escrow as part of its scheduled release. Although the majority of these tokens don’t immediately hit the open market, a significant portion typically does—often in the hundreds of millions. That influx could introduce enough selling pressure to cap further gains, especially since XRP must reclaim and hold the $2.10 level to sustain any bullish momentum.
In the short term, while reduced exchange supply and fresh institutional products offer a bullish backdrop, upcoming token unlocks may weigh on sentiment and keep XRP’s price trajectory closely aligned with broader market trends.