Is an XRP ETF Inevitable? Growing Confidence Signals Approval May Be Near
Optimism is building around the potential approval of an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF), with many in the industry convinced it’s only a matter of time before regulators give the go-ahead. Data from Polymarket suggests an 87% likelihood that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will sign off on an XRP ETF by late 2025, reflecting growing confidence among investors.
Ripple’s courtroom success against the SEC has eliminated a major roadblock that previously discouraged institutional involvement with XRP. With regulatory uncertainty easing, speculation is mounting that a dedicated ETF could soon follow, mirroring the path taken by Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Nate Geraci, head of The ETF Store, believes approval is inevitable, pointing to BlackRock and Fidelity as likely contenders to launch an XRP ETF. He argues that XRP’s position as the third-largest non-stablecoin cryptocurrency makes it a natural candidate for institutional investment.
Traders on Polymarket are betting heavily on an XRP ETF approval, interpreting recent regulatory shifts as a sign of progress. The introduction of such a fund could open the door to greater institutional adoption, similar to how Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs reshaped the market.
Although BlackRock and Fidelity have yet to signal direct interest, analysts suggest that growing demand and clearer regulations could soon push major asset managers toward XRP-based investment products. If approved, an XRP ETF could attract significant capital inflows and further integrate the asset into mainstream finance.
What’s Next?
The possibility of an ETF has fueled speculation about XRP’s future value. Technical analyst Peter Brandt warns that if the asset drops below a key threshold, it could dip to around $1.07. However, should XRP maintain its momentum above $3, bearish bets could backfire.
Meanwhile, crypto investment firm Bitwise sees a long-term bullish case. If XRP gains traction in payments and tokenization, the firm estimates it could reach $29.32 by 2030. Even in a more moderate scenario, Bitwise envisions a potential rise to $12.70 over the next six years.
As regulatory clarity improves and institutional interest grows, XRP’s path toward an ETF appears increasingly realistic. The only question is how soon the SEC will make its move.
Editorial Team
Reporter at Coindoo
