Germany’s Economy Faces Pressure from Tariffs and Slow Reforms

Germany’s economy is expected to stall again this quarter as U.S. tariffs continue to choke vital export activity.
Global trade tensions are piling pressure on an economy already burdened by high energy costs and competitive disadvantages.
Once dominant industries, like automobile manufacturing, now struggle to compete with faster, more innovative international rivals.
Trade-related uncertainty weighs heavily on German business sentiment, reducing investment appetite and slowing production in key industrial regions.
Exports Falter While Domestic Support Lags Behind
The Bundesbank has warned that the export sector is feeling the brunt of global trade policy shifts, especially from the U.S.
Weak demand across international markets and rising competition have left German exporters in an increasingly vulnerable position.
Although car production saw a brief uptick in April, overall economic indicators point toward a weakening trend.
The start of the second quarter showed some promise, but momentum appears unsustainable without stronger external or internal drivers.
Government Spending May Help, But Not Yet
Germany’s coalition government has introduced new infrastructure spending as part of its economic recovery strategy.
However, the Bundesbank notes that these fiscal measures will not deliver meaningful growth until sometime next year.
The delay in domestic stimulus further complicates efforts to reverse stagnation and reinvigorate industrial performance.
With trade barriers rising and reforms taking time, Germany now faces a critical period of economic vulnerability and strategic uncertainty.