Eurozone Inflation Returns to Target, But Risks Linger

The eurozone’s annual inflation rate has landed at 2% in June, right on the European Central Bank’s official target, according to a flash estimate published Tuesday.
After briefly dipping below the mark in May, the renewed uptick was mainly driven by rising service costs and food prices, despite ongoing declines in energy.
Services inflation led the climb, jumping 3.3%, while food, alcohol, and tobacco rose 3.1%. Energy, by contrast, continued to ease, dropping 2.7% compared to last year. Nationally, France reported a much lower rate at just 0.8%, while Germany aligned with the eurozone average at 2%.
The data lands just after ECB President Christine Lagarde issued a warning on inflation volatility amid global uncertainty. Speaking at the ECB’s annual forum in Portugal, Lagarde emphasized that erratic inflation trends could force more aggressive policy decisions to maintain price stability.
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June’s figures follow a steady decline from April’s 2.2%, which prompted the ECB to lower interest rates for the eighth time in a year. While a strong euro and falling inflation may give policymakers room to breathe, economists caution that lingering pressures — from wage growth in the service sector to global trade tensions — could quickly reignite inflation.
As the ECB works to balance growth and stability, its latest strategy underscores the challenge ahead: maintaining control over inflation in a world marked by unpredictability.