Bitcoin’s Uptrend Likely to Continue – But Risks Remain, Says Analyst
Macroeconomic strategist Lyn Alden sees a positive outlook for Bitcoin over the next year, pointing to healthy fundamentals and supportive market conditions.
Despite recent volatility, she believes the broader trend remains upward—though not without potential threats.
Alden’s analysis suggests that Bitcoin still has room to grow through 2025, assuming the global economy avoids major disruptions. However, she cautions that unforeseen financial shocks—such as a rapid decline in global equity markets—could temporarily reverse momentum. These rare but impactful events, often referred to as Black Swans, could lead to significant short-term losses even in strong-performing assets like Bitcoin.
While many investors continue to track Bitcoin’s four-year halving cycles as a key signal for price movement, Alden argues that this narrative may be losing its dominance. As Bitcoin matures and its market cap grows, its behavior is becoming more aligned with global liquidity trends than with fixed supply mechanics alone.
According to her assessment, liquidity—the availability of capital across the financial system—now plays a much larger role in shaping Bitcoin’s direction. Periods of high liquidity tend to benefit risk assets like Bitcoin, while tighter conditions may limit upside or trigger corrections, regardless of the halving schedule.
This shift reflects Bitcoin’s increasing integration into the broader financial landscape. No longer driven solely by crypto-native factors, its price action is now heavily influenced by global macroeconomic dynamics. As such, Alden expects the asset to continue performing well in the absence of major economic shocks, but she also emphasizes that investors should remain aware of external risks that could shake the system.
Alex is Editor-in-Chief of Coindoo and co-founder of Millennial Media Group, with nearly a decade of experience covering financial markets - crypto first, then everything else. It started in 2016 with Bitcoin. Like most people at the time, he didn't fully understand it - so he kept digging. Blockchain, tokenomics, the projects, the cycles. That curiosity never stopped, and eventually pulled him into traditional markets too: equities, commodities, macro. Not because he left crypto behind, but because you can't properly understand one without the other. What drives him is straightforward: he wants to know why something is happening, not just that it's happening. Most market coverage stops at the headline - price up, price down, here's a chart. Alex finds that kind of reporting actively unhelpful. If you walk away from an article without understanding the mechanism behind the move, what did you actually learn? He holds a degree in Tourism from New Bulgarian University - not the most obvious path into financial markets, but markets have a way of pulling in people who are simply too curious to stay out. He has authored over 200 in-depth analyses and more than 10,000 articles across crypto and traditional finance. He still thinks every day in markets teaches him something new. That's probably why he hasn't stopped.
