Bitcoin Rally Remains Healthy, Not Overheated, Says NYDIG
Bitcoin’s recent surge to a new all-time high is part of a broader, sustainable uptrend rather than a speculative bubble, according to a new report by financial services firm NYDIG.
The analysis highlights that, despite reaching fresh highs, current market conditions are significantly calmer than in previous bull cycles.
BTC recently rebounded sharply after a 28.2% correction that followed President Trump’s “Freedom Day” tariff announcement, briefly pulling prices down to $74,400. NYDIG sees such pullbacks as normal within the broader rally that began at $15,460 in November 2022.
Compared to past bull markets, the current cycle is notably less volatile. There have only been seven drawdowns greater than 10%, versus 13 and 10 in the two previous cycles. Moreover, indicators of excessive speculation—such as perpetual swap and forward funding rates—remain historically subdued.
The firm also pointed to the MVRV ratio, which measures Bitcoin’s market value relative to its realized value. At 2.4x, it’s significantly below the 4.0x peaks seen in past cycles. This suggests Bitcoin may still have room to grow before reaching overheating levels.
While NYDIG doesn’t expect a repeat of the 20x surges seen in earlier years, it maintains there is “significant upside potential” in the current cycle.
NYDIG’s data-driven view supports a more measured, long-term outlook on Bitcoin’s trajectory—one that sees strength in resilience, not hype.
Alexander Stefanov
Reporter at Coindoo
Alex is an experienced finance journalist and a cryptocurrency and blockchain enthusiast. With over 8 years of experience covering the crypto, blockchain and fintech industries, he deeply understands the complex and constantly evolving world of digital assets. His insightful and thought-provoking articles provide readers with a clear picture of the latest developments and trends in the market. His passionate approach allows him to break down complex ideas into accessible and insightful content. Follow up on his content to be up to date with the most important trends and topics.
