Bitcoin May Be Just 70 Days Away From a New All-Time High, If History Repeats

Bitcoin’s path to its next all-time high (ATH) may be closer than many think, according to Axel Adler Jr., who points to historical recovery patterns in Bitcoin’s post-ATH cycles.
As of now, it has been 141 days since Bitcoin last peaked — and based on historical averages, we could be just 70 days away from setting a new high.
Historically, it has taken BTC an average of 211 days to break past its previous ATH after reaching a cycle top. In past cycles, the recovery durations were:
- 209 days after the 2013 ATH
- 188 days following the 2017 ATH
- 237 days after the 2021 ATH
With the current count at 141 days since Bitcoin’s last ATH (around late 2024), a similar recovery would imply that a new high could occur around mid-July 2025 — assuming the historical average plays out again.
The accompanying CryptoQuant chart illustrates this clearly, showing each cycle’s trajectory with blue lines tracking the “days since last ATH.” Overlayed across Bitcoin’s logarithmic growth and halving events, the pattern of cyclical ATH resets becomes evident.
“However, these are just averages,” Adler cautions, “and I personally believe that the next ATH could be reached even sooner.”
The implication is that momentum may already be building, and with the recent Bitcoin halving now behind us, the macro and supply-side environment could accelerate the timeline.