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Bitcoin May Be Entering Final Rally Phase, Historical Data Shows

Bitcoin May Be Entering Final Rally Phase, Historical Data Shows

Bitcoin may be gearing up for a major rally in the final quarter of 2025, according to market strategist Ted Pillows, who sees striking similarities between BTC’s current structure and gold’s previous breakout pattern.

If the trend holds, Pillows believes Bitcoin could soar past $160,000 by year-end.

The analysis draws on the historical behavior of both assets—highlighting key phases like accumulation, distribution, and re-accumulation. Gold, for instance, saw a significant move from below $2,000 to over $3,300 following a lengthy re-accumulation stage. Pillows argues that Bitcoin now appears to be at a similar turning point, transitioning toward its next rally phase.

While gold has outperformed in 2025 amid rising demand for safe-haven assets during economic uncertainty, Bitcoin has quietly followed a parallel buildup. The digital asset, currently trading just under $120,000, is holding key technical levels that many believe are essential for a breakout.

Ali Martinez, a crypto analyst, recently highlighted that staying above the $110,000 support zone is critical. If BTC holds that line, a climb to $130,000 remains realistic in the short term—with even higher targets like $160,000 on the horizon if momentum builds.

As Q4 approaches, investors will be watching closely to see whether Bitcoin can repeat gold’s breakout playbook—and potentially cement itself as a digital safe haven in its own right.

Author
Александър Стефанов - Главен редактор на TradeNews

Reporter at Coindoo

Alex is Editor-in-Chief of Coindoo and co-founder of Millennial Media Group, with nearly a decade of experience covering financial markets - crypto first, then everything else. It started in 2016 with Bitcoin. Like most people at the time, he didn't fully understand it - so he kept digging. Blockchain, tokenomics, the projects, the cycles. That curiosity never stopped, and eventually pulled him into traditional markets too: equities, commodities, macro. Not because he left crypto behind, but because you can't properly understand one without the other. What drives him is straightforward: he wants to know why something is happening, not just that it's happening. Most market coverage stops at the headline - price up, price down, here's a chart. Alex finds that kind of reporting actively unhelpful. If you walk away from an article without understanding the mechanism behind the move, what did you actually learn? He holds a degree in Tourism from New Bulgarian University - not the most obvious path into financial markets, but markets have a way of pulling in people who are simply too curious to stay out. He has authored over 200 in-depth analyses and more than 10,000 articles across crypto and traditional finance. He still thinks every day in markets teaches him something new. That's probably why he hasn't stopped.

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