Bitcoin Faces Uncertainty Despite 90-Day Tariff Pause, Says Swissblock
Despite Bitcoin climbing back above $80,000 following the U.S. administration’s 90-day pause on new tariffs, leading analytics firm Swissblock believes the market has yet to confirm a true bottom.
In a post on X, Swissblock cautioned that recent gains in BTC don’t necessarily signal a clear breakout. “Don’t let your guard down yet! The 90-day trade war extension eases tensions, but we’re not out of the woods,” the firm warned.
Bitcoin recently reclaimed the $78,000–$79,000 range and is now trading above $80,000, but Swissblock insists that the rally lacks the strength and volume necessary for a confirmed trend reversal.
Bitcoin Risk Signal Still Flashing Caution
Swissblock’s proprietary Bitcoin Risk Signal—a composite indicator that tracks price behavior, on-chain metrics, and broader trading conditions—shows that while risks are manageable, they remain elevated.
“Market risk must ease for a true bottom,” Swissblock explained. “It’s under control but still high. We are not yet in a low-risk regime.”
Bottom Formation Still in Progress
According to Swissblock, Bitcoin remains in a classic “bottoming cycle,” characterized by a transition from a bottom through a downtrend phase before moving into uncharted bullish territory.
“We’re in a downtrend phase, which is normal. The bottom is close, but not confirmed,” they said, noting that price action still suggests caution.
Key Level to Watch: $80,000
Swissblock believes that for Bitcoin to validate a bullish shift, it must maintain support above $80,000 and consolidate with strong volume.
“Bitcoin must hold $80,000 and consolidate to break the downward compression. Strength and volume are key for a bullish shift,” the firm emphasized.
As global markets remain on edge and macroeconomic uncertainty lingers, analysts and investors alike are watching closely to see if BTC can turn this rebound into a full-scale reversal.
Kosta has reported on cryptocurrency markets and blockchain infrastructure since 2020, bringing over six years of hands-on experience in the crypto industry built through daily tracking of markets, trends, and emerging blockchain developments. Specializing in Bitcoin on-chain analysis, institutional ETF flows, and digital asset price action, his work at Coindoo has been cited by other news agencies and consistently covers market developments with a focus on data-driven reporting across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. Over the years, Kosta has contributed to multiple crypto media outlets in different regions, authoring over 6,000 articles across the sector. His reporting spans cryptocurrency markets and the broader fintech industry, tracking not only price action but also the technological and regulatory forces shaping the ecosystem. To support his analysis, Kosta actively leverages on-chain data and metrics from leading platforms such as Santiment, Glassnode, and CryptoQuant, enabling deeper, evidence-based market insights. He believes in the power of transparency and the data that underpins the blockchain ecosystem. His academic background in Marketing Management from Denmark further complements his analytical approach, adding a strong understanding of communication strategy and content positioning to his work.
